基于ERM的我国煤矿企业风险源辨识与评价研究

本书在分析和总结我国煤矿安全生产风险源识别和预警方法研究的基础上，对目前关于风险管理的基础理论和本文拟采用的全面风险管理技术方法（ERM）进行了全面分析和研究。进而针对我国煤矿生产工艺过程和煤矿行业安全生产事故的具体致因原理和模型，包括煤矿生产过程风险事故的内部、外部因素进行了全面的分析和阐述。根据ERM全面风险治理框架的基本要求和原理，结合我国煤矿生产过程中的风险源存在形式、特点、结构和分类，引入并运用二元语义分析的方法，构建了我国煤矿安全生产过程风险源评价的定量模型，并根据对调研对象的实地调研所得的数据，进行了实证研究。在对以上风险源辨识和预警分析和研究基础上，得出了我国煤矿安全生产状况的初步结论和对策性建议。

1.Introduction1.1Research objectives and significance1.1.1Topic introduction 1.1.2Study purpose and significance 1.2Scientific principle and risk management technology1.2.1Scientific principle1.2.2Risk management technology1.3Risk identifications and warning methods in coalproduction1.4Research contents， ideas and methods1.4.1Research contents1.4.2Basic ideas1.4.3Research methods1.5Research difficulties， viewpoints and innovations1.5.1Research difficulties1.5.2Main viewpoints1.5.3Research innovations
2.Basic theory and technical methods of risk management2.1Basic theory of risk management—accident causingtheory2.1.1Development of accident causing theory2.1.2Causal chain theory2.1.3Energy Transfer Theory 2.1.4Causal Models Based on Information Process2.1.5Path Cross Theory2.1.6Causal Models of Complex System2.1.7Unsafety Behavior analysis Model 2.2Risk management technology—Governanceframework of ERM2.2.1Development of ERM2.2.2Practice of ERM2.2.3Framework of comprehensive risk warning systembased on ERM2.3Summary
3.Accident?causing model in coal production3.1Process feature of coal production3.1.1Exploitation3.1.2Excavation3.1.3Coal mining3.1.4Transportation3.2Accident?causing model in coal production3.2.1Theory of risk source3.2.2Catastrophe Model of Accident?Causing3.3Risks in Coal Producion Based on Accident?CausingTheory3.4Accident?causing model in coal production 3.4.1External causes of accidents3.4.2Internal causes of accidents3.5Summary
4.Risk Identification and evaluation in coal production underERM framework4.1Forms and characteristics of risk sources4.2Structure and classification of risk sources4.3Identification of main risk sources in coalproduction4.4Evaluation of risk source based on two?tuplelinguistic4.4.1Construction of risk evaluation system in coal safetyproduction4.4.2Two?tuple linguistic group decision?makingmethod4.4.3Coal risk evaluation based on two?tuplelinguistic4.4.4Case analysis 4.4.5Conclusion4.5Summary5.Conclusions and Prospect5.1Conclusions5.2Innovations5.3Research ideas of future work
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